Tulsa, Oklahoma — 3-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Today — Saturday, June 13: Slight Risk
Primary hazards: damaging winds, heavy rain, large hail
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today in Tulsa, with the greatest chance for strong storms developing this evening into overnight. Storms could produce damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rain leading to flooding near creeks and streams. The SPC sees a 2% tornado probability, 15% damaging wind probability, and 5% large hail probability within 25 miles of most points. Stay alert tonight when the threat peaks, as any storms that form could quickly intensify. SPC Outlook: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for this area. Our model data supports this assessment with conditions favorable for strong storms.
Tomorrow — Sunday, June 14: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: heavy rain, flooding, lightning
Thunderstorms will continue affecting the Tulsa area tomorrow, Sunday, peaking from morning through the afternoon as a storm complex moves through. These storms could bring heavy downpours, increasing the flood risk near creeks and streams after recent rains. No damaging winds, large hail, or tornadoes are expected, as conditions lack support for strong, organized storms. The threat has decreased from slight to none since the last update, with parameters now showing very limited potential for severe weather. Lightning remains a hazard in all thunderstorms. Avoid driving through flooded areas and seek shelter from lightning.
Day 3 — Monday, June 15: No Severe Threat
Monday in Tulsa looks mostly fair with partly cloudy skies and comfortable humidity. Afternoon highs will be mild after recent rains, with dewpoints around the low 60s. Light showers remain possible but nothing heavy or disruptive. The atmosphere is very stable, keeping conditions quiet overall. No weather hazards are expected.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, June 16: No Severe Threat
Mild conditions are expected with highs near 80 degrees and lows dipping to the low 60s on Tuesday. Atmospheric patterns may remain stable, with little support for severe weather development. Extended-range outlooks carry high uncertainty, so a general risk should be monitored for any shifts. The Storm Prediction Center has not issued a Day 4 probabilistic outlook.
Day 5 — Wednesday, June 17: No Severe Threat
Highs near 90 degrees and lows around 70 degrees are anticipated amid humid conditions. A pattern may be developing that could become conducive to thunderstorms, though predictability remains very low this far out. There is a general risk that should be monitored as details evolve in the coming days.
Day 6 — Thursday, June 18: No Severe Threat
Highs near 89 degrees with lows around 71 degrees are expected amid humid conditions. A pattern may be developing that could become conducive to thunderstorms by Thursday. Extended-range forecasts carry significant uncertainty with only marginal support, so any weather risks should be monitored closely.
Day 7 — Friday, June 19: No Severe Threat
Mild highs near 77 degrees and overnight lows around 62 degrees are expected amid humid conditions with dewpoints in the low 70s. Patterns this far out show little support for thunderstorm development, and any severe weather risk remains highly uncertain. Conditions could stay quiet, though a general watch on evolving setups is advised.