Springfield, Missouri — 3-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Today — Saturday, June 13: Enhanced Risk
Primary hazards: damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, heavy rain
Severe thunderstorms are expected across Springfield this afternoon through tonight, with the greatest risk for damaging wind gusts up to 70-80 mph. Large hail and a lower chance of brief tornadoes are also possible. The SPC sees a 5% tornado probability, 30% damaging wind probability, and 5% large hail probability within 25 miles of any point. Heavy rain will add to flooding concerns, as a Flood Watch remains in effect through Sunday morning due to recent rains and saturated ground. Isolated storms could occur early this morning before activity ramps up later. SPC Outlook: The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk for this area. Our model data supports this assessment with conditions favoring strong, organized storms.
Tomorrow — Sunday, June 14: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: flooding
Tomorrow in Springfield, Missouri, expect lingering flooding risks early Sunday morning as a Flood Watch continues for portions of the area through the morning. Saturated soils from recent heavy rains and elevated streamflows raise concerns for flash flooding in low-lying spots. The threat has decreased from enhanced to none since the last update, with no SPC outlook issued for thunderstorms. Conditions should dry out and improve after morning, leading to mostly fair skies and warm, muggy weather during the day. Stay alert for any rising water early on.
Day 3 — Monday, June 15: No Severe Threat
Springfield will see fair skies and calm conditions on Monday. Mild temperatures and comfortable humidity around 58 degrees will make for a pleasant day. No thunderstorms, heavy rain, or severe weather threats are expected. The setup remains very stable with little wind. It's a great day for outdoor plans without weather worries.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, June 16: No Severe Threat
Mild conditions are anticipated with highs reaching the upper 70s and lows dipping into the low 60s. Limited moisture and weak wind patterns could keep storm potential minimal, though extended-range predictability remains quite low. Any development toward more active weather would need to be closely monitored as patterns may slowly evolve. The overall severe weather risk stays negligible at this forecast lead time.
Day 5 — Wednesday, June 17: No Severe Threat
Highs are expected to reach the upper 80s with lows dipping into the upper 60s amid rising humidity. A pattern may be developing that could make conditions conducive to strong storms, but predictability remains very low this far out. There is a general risk worth monitoring, though timing, coverage, and intensity are highly uncertain.
Day 6 — Thursday, June 18: No Severe Threat
Warm and humid air is expected with highs around 85 degrees and overnight lows near 72 degrees. A pattern may be developing that could support scattered thunderstorms late in the week, including potential for Thursday around Springfield. However, predictability remains very low this far out, and conditions could become conducive to stronger storms or remain benign. This general risk should be monitored as forecasts evolve.
Day 7 — Friday, June 19: No Severe Threat
Highs near 73°F and lows around 60°F are anticipated amid a cooler airmass. Conditions could remain stable with minimal support for thunderstorm activity. A pattern conducive to severe weather is not evident at this extended range, and predictability remains very low. This general risk should be monitored as forecasts evolve.