Amarillo, Texas — 3-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Today — Saturday, June 13: Slight Risk
Primary hazards: damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain
Thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across the Amarillo area, fueled by leftover boundaries from overnight storms and incoming moisture. Strong storms are possible, with the Storm Prediction Center estimating a 15% chance of damaging winds and 5% chance of large hail within 25 miles of any point. Heavy rain from these storms could cause localized flooding in the Panhandles. The greatest threat peaks during the afternoon and early evening hours. SPC Outlook: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for this area. Our model data supports this assessment with conditions favoring strong storms.
Tomorrow — Sunday, June 14: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: heavy rain, flooding, lightning
Scattered thunderstorms are possible across the Amarillo area tomorrow, Sunday. High moisture levels could lead to pockets of heavy rain and localized flooding, especially where storms repeatedly move over the same spots. Lightning will be the main danger with any storms that develop. No strong or severe storms are expected. Stay alert near creeks, rivers, and low-lying areas for rising water.
Day 3 — Monday, June 15: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: lightning, heavy rain
Scattered thunderstorms are possible around Amarillo on Monday. These storms will likely stay weak and non-severe due to limited atmospheric energy and lack of strong wind patterns aloft. The main concerns will be lightning strikes and pockets of heavy rain that could cause localized flooding in low-lying spots. Damaging winds, large hail, or tornadoes are not expected. Storms may develop in the afternoon and continue into the evening.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, June 16: No Severe Threat
High temperatures could climb into the mid-90s with overnight lows near the mid-60s as a pattern may begin to develop some instability. Conditions remain highly uncertain this far into the extended range, and any potential for storms would likely be disorganized at best. The overall severe weather risk appears minimal but should continue to be monitored for changes.
Day 5 — Wednesday, June 17: No Severe Threat
Very hot conditions are expected with highs reaching 104 degrees Fahrenheit and overnight lows around 74 degrees. Some humidity may build, but the atmosphere could lack the energy needed for thunderstorms to develop meaningfully. Severe weather potential appears minimal and highly uncertain this far out in the extended range, so the situation warrants monitoring as patterns evolve.
Day 6 — Thursday, June 18: No Severe Threat
Highs near 82°F and lows around 65°F are expected amid generally stable conditions. Moisture could build modestly, but patterns may not support thunderstorm activity. Uncertainty is high this far ahead, so any potential changes warrant monitoring.
Day 7 — Friday, June 19: No Severe Threat
Cooler conditions may prevail with highs reaching the mid 70s and lows dipping into the low 60s amid building humidity. While some instability could develop, conditions for organized storms remain highly uncertain this far out. A general risk is possible but should be closely monitored as patterns evolve. Predictability is low beyond the near term.